Archive for November, 2009

James Passin Bullish on Mongolian Stock Market

By , 26 November, 2009, 2 Comments

Today, while going through some articles on Mongolia, I ran across an article that happened to cover the Mongolian stock market by a stock market guru named James Passin.  It was a lucky find as the article mostly talked about Berrylium.  Anyway, please read on.

As you will find, James is very bullish on the local Mongolian stock market.

Source:

Mongolian Stock Market Overview

TER: Any other regional international plays that you can discuss with us?

JP: Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. (NYSE:IVN, TSX:IVN) , the Canadian exploration company, finally executed an agreement with the Mongolian government with respect to the development of Oyu Tolgoi, the world’s largest undeveloped copper mine. This is a massive mine that will generate $5 billion of revenue per year for over 50 years. While this is a positive development of Ivanhoe, a stock that we’ve been trading from the long side all year, it will be much bigger story for the Mongolian stock market.

Mongolia GDP is only about $5 billion, so Oyu Tolgoi, or OT as the mine is called, will transform the prospects for employment and per capita GDP growth. A great wall of domestic liquidity will support the local stock market, creating a new bull market which will last for decades. The local stock market currently has depressed valuation and almost zero liquidity. Mongolia has structural similarities to other emerging markets that started out with very low market capitalizations, such Vietnam or the smaller Gulf states. There are 24 mineral projects that have been deemed strategic by the Mongolian government and that represent potential sources of commodity exports. The Ivanhoe deal marks the beginning of the Mongolian mining boom and I think the most leveraged long-term way to play this mining boom is through the local stock market.

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H1N1 Causing Food Price Inflation – Mongolians Are Not Happy

By , 17 November, 2009, 6 Comments

Sea-Buckthorn

Seabuckthorn prices have increased by 1500-2500 tugrugs per kilo in Mongoolia

Due to the outbreak of H1N1, there is increased demand for food products that enhance body’s immune system and help fight against the flu.  As a result, pricing for garlic, sea-buckthorn, “aarts”, and horse meat have seen inflationary pricing over the last few weeks.  News coverage has been high as locals have been quite upset and have demanded price controls.

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Ivanhoe Mines Financial Results and Review of Operations (Third Quarter of 2009)

By , 15 November, 2009, 2 Comments
On November 13, 2009, the following article was released on CNN Money.   It contains highlights from Ivanhoe Mines’ financial tesults and review of operations.  The full PDF can be downloaded from the Ivanhoe Mines website.

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Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. (TSX: IVN)(NYSE: IVN)(NASDAQ: IVN) today announced its results for the quarter ended September 30, 2009. All figures are in US dollars, unless otherwise stated.

HIGHLIGHTS DURING THE QUARTER AND SUBSEQUENT WEEKS

– On October 6, Ivanhoe Mines and its strategic partner, Rio Tinto, joined with the Government of Mongolia in a state ceremony for the signing of an Investment Agreement for the Oyu Tolgoi copper-gold project. The Investment Agreement establishes a stable legal, fiscal and regulatory environment for the construction and operation of the Oyu Tolgoi mining complex.

– On October 27, Ivanhoe received $388 million from Rio Tinto, increasing Rio Tinto’s equity ownership in Ivanhoe Mines to 19.7%. The additional funds will be used to help build and commission the open-pit mine and to advance development of the underground block-cave mine at Ivanhoe’s Oyu Tolgoi copper-gold project in Mongolia.

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Should You Be Wearing a Mask?

By , 10 November, 2009, 6 Comments

N95-RespiratorThere are quite a bit of confusion over this matter.  With all the H1N1, or the swine flu, all around, shouldn’t we all be wearing masks?  There is definitely some “swine panic” in Mongolia as prices of garlic, horse meat, “aarts”, and seabuckthorne juices have skyrocketed in response to the H1N1 flu.  Many people are wearing masks in Mongolia.  Some organizations are even going as far as requiring people to wear masks.  As a result, I set out to do a brief research into the matter: do I or you really need to be wearing masks?  Should you?

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H1 or Swine Flu Case in Mongolia

By , 10 November, 2009, 7 Comments

November 9, 2009

Mongolian Ministry of Health logo

Mongolian Ministry of Health logo

According to Ministry of Health and as of 10am on Monday morning November 9, 2009, there are 929 laboratory-tested cases of H1N1 virus infections in Mongolia.  Of that 722 are in Ulaanbaatar city and 207 in rest of the country.

In total, there are 17 “aimags”, or provinces, that are registered as having H1N1 cases.  Bayan-Ulgii, Dund-Gobi, Gobi-Altai, and Sukhbaatar aimgags do not have any registered cases yet.

Here is the breakdown of the H1N1 cases by aimags: Arkhangai 8, Bayankhongor 3, Bulgan 7, Gobi-Sumber 16, Darkhan-Uul 23, Dorno-Gobi 24, Dornod 13, Zavkhan 3, Orkhon 15, Uvur-Khangai 26, Umnu-Gobi 2, Selenge 20, Tuv 10, Uvs 6, Hovd 19, Huvsgul 1, Hentii 11

In total, 29.8 percent, or 1166, out of the 3910 people who were serviced by ambulance were diagnosed with flu or flu-like disease.

Source: Ministry of Health (www.moh.mn)